Market Analysis – July 28 to August 1, 2025
Forex
The forex market witnessed significant volatility this week as traders awaited the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday, one of the most critical policy announcements in recent months.
Key Movements:
The U.S. dollar is testing critical support levels at 97.70–97.80
The Euro faces strong resistance at 1.1750, with support at 1.1710
The British Pound remains under pressure, with resistance at 1.3580 and support at 1.3270
Technical Outlook:
The Dollar Index (DXY) is in a critical zone – closing above 97.80 may confirm a bullish trend
EUR/USD needs to break above 1.1750 to continue its upward move
GBP/USD may head towards 1.3270 if downside pressure persists
Gold
Gold declined below the ascending trendline from May at $3,336, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Key Influences:
Gold lost support from the main trendline at $3,336
A strong U.S. dollar is weighing on the precious metal
Geopolitical tensions are offering only limited support
Technical Analysis:
A close below $3,336 opens the door toward $3,285
Major resistance stands at $3,370
If $3,320 is broken, the next target is $3,250–$3,240
Oil (Brent)
Brent oil is maintaining a moderately positive trend, despite signs of local overbought conditions.
Key Drivers:
OPEC+ remains disciplined in implementing production cuts
Fuel demand is improving in China and India
U.S. commercial inventories are declining
Outlook:
Strong support at $66.50 per barrel
A break above $69.00 opens the path toward $73.30
The ultimate target is $81.00 if the uptrend continues